Thursday, October 14, 2010

18 DAYS AND A NAP LEFT!!!!

The days are ticking by to Election Day, as we continue to get conflicting signals on the judgment that's going to be delivered by the voters.
If you like the Democratic side of the ball, then there were a flurry of encouraging polls out yesterday, including everything from the Governor's races in Maine, Rhode Island and Ohio to a blockbuster poll out of Washington State's Senate race.


That poll had Sen. Patty Murray (D-WA) up by 15 points - but that's way out of line with other polls, that have shown Republican Dino Rossi and Murray locked in a very tight race.


But I as wrote that paragraph, another poll came in from CNN/Time, which showed Murray ahead by eight points. So, maybe that race isn't as close as we think. We'll find out in 19 days.


Over in the House, the Capitol Hill newspaper "The Hill" put out another dozen polls on House races, which again showed the GOP to be in a strong position.


The polls examined "open" seats - seats where the incumbent is not running for re-election. 10 of the 12 races had Republicans in front, including one seat that Democrats have held in Wisconsin for the last 41 years.


Republicans were leading in TN 8, WA 3, AR 1, WI 7, PA 7, NH 2 and MI 1.


Democrats had the advantage in WV 1 and IL 10.


Another race that could be swinging to the Republicans is in Hawaii, where everyone in D.C. thought that Rep. Charles Djou (R-HI), who won a special election this summer, was going to be defeated, now that Democrats have agreed to back one candidate.


But the polls are showing a different story, as Djou has even moved slightly ahead in some polls. That would be an unexpected gift for Republicans.


Republicans also seem to be close in the race for Governor in the Aloha State, where former Rep. Neil Abercrombie (D) was assumed to be the overwhelming favorite. But a poll out last week - by a Democratic leaning firm - showed Abercrombie ahead by only 2 points.


On the Senate side, other than the poll mentioned above from Washington State, most races have held in place this week as new poll numbers have emerged, leaving the Republicans within striking distance.


In West Virginia, a new poll from Rasmussen showed Republican John Raese with a 3 point lead over Gov. Joe Manchin (D). Manchin had trailed in an earlier poll by 6 points.


Another poll in Nevada showed Sharron Angle (R) ahead of Sen. Harry Reid (D-NV) by just one point.


West Virginia, Nevada and Washington State could be the keys for Republicans on Election Night, as Democratic wins there would extinguish any GOP hopes to take over the Senate in January.


The clock is ticking. Have you voted yet?

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